TRADEX
GLOBAL INTERNAL COMMENTARY
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prices rise the most in 6 years!!! The
Case-Shiller Index of Property Values in 20 cities increased 6.8% YoY from
December 2011. The increase slightly
outpaced the median projection of 6.6% and 19 of 20 cities showed an
increase. Record low borrowing and
better employment is fueling home price appreciation. The impact of HPA is being felt via lower
foreclosures and lower loss severities if a home does go into foreclosure. The home sector is clearly coming out of a
depression and the increases are all off the bottom. Regardless, we are still very encouraged by
the strength of the move. This bodes
very well for our Liquid Real Estate Strategy and for the overall economy. Keep nimble – Michael Beattie
EXTERNAL RESEARCH COMMENTARY
Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose in December by the most in more than six years, a sign the housing-market recovery is strengthening. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values increased 6.8 percent from December 2011, the biggest year-to-year gain since July 2006, after advancing 5.4 percent in November, a report showed today in New York. The median projection of 30 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 6.6 percent advance. Nineteen of 20 cities showed gains. Near record-low borrowing costs and gains in employment are fueling demand and boosting property values as the number of houses on the market drops and foreclosures ease. The improvement is shoring up household net worth and confidence, which may underpin consumer spending even as an increase in the payroll tax reduces take-home pay. “The key here is it’s not as if we’re getting all the juice from one area, it’s broadly based across the country,” said Brian Jones, a senior U.S. economist at Societe Generale in New York, who correctly projected the year-over-year increase. “Rates are low, prices are attractive, so affordability is high, and the labor market is gradually healing as well. If you were in the market to buy a home, right now it’s a good time." Another report showed residential property values climbed 0.6 percent in December from the prior month, according to data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency. They were up 5.5 percent in the fourth quarter from the same time a year earlier.
Home prices in 20 U.S. cities rose in December by the most in more than six years, a sign the housing-market recovery is strengthening. The S&P/Case-Shiller index of property values increased 6.8 percent from December 2011, the biggest year-to-year gain since July 2006, after advancing 5.4 percent in November, a report showed today in New York. The median projection of 30 economists surveyed by Bloomberg called for a 6.6 percent advance. Nineteen of 20 cities showed gains. Near record-low borrowing costs and gains in employment are fueling demand and boosting property values as the number of houses on the market drops and foreclosures ease. The improvement is shoring up household net worth and confidence, which may underpin consumer spending even as an increase in the payroll tax reduces take-home pay. “The key here is it’s not as if we’re getting all the juice from one area, it’s broadly based across the country,” said Brian Jones, a senior U.S. economist at Societe Generale in New York, who correctly projected the year-over-year increase. “Rates are low, prices are attractive, so affordability is high, and the labor market is gradually healing as well. If you were in the market to buy a home, right now it’s a good time." Another report showed residential property values climbed 0.6 percent in December from the prior month, according to data from the Federal Housing Finance Agency. They were up 5.5 percent in the fourth quarter from the same time a year earlier.
Tradex Global Advisory Services, LLC
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203-863-1500
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