TRADEX
GLOBAL INTERNAL COMMENTARY
New home
sales surged!!! Single family sales came
in at an adjusted annual rate of 437k, which was significantly above the
consensus of 339k. This was also 16%
higher than the revised December rate. Homebuilder
sentiment has been gaining strength, but we are now also seeing sales pick up. Today we saw both increased sales and
increased prices, making for a good day in the housing sector. We follow this sector very carefully and have
been saying that steady improvement will be the new-normal for the foreseeable
future. This is positive news on a day where
markets gyrated up and down 100 points due to Italy and the Fed. Keep nimble – Michael Beattie
EXTERNAL RESEARCH COMMENTARY
New home sales surged in January, rising almost 16% from December in another sign of an improving housing market. Sales of new single-family homes in January came in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 437,000, the government said Tuesday. The results bested consensus estimates of 381,000. The pace of sales was almost 29% above the January 2012 estimate of 339,000, and almost 16% above the revised December rate. The strong showing in January follows an uptick in home builder sentiment and housing starts in recent months that hadn't been matched with an increase in sales. "Now, we're seeing sales pick up," says Patrick Newport, economist with IHS Global Insight. The homebuilding industry has been starved for good news for years. Last year's new home sales totaled 367,000, making 2012 the third lowest year on record for new home sales. They hit record lows in 2011. IHS Global Insight expects new home sales to rise to 464,000 this year. IHS doesn't expect new home sales to return to more normal levels, above 800,000 a year, until 2015. Increased new home sales are a strong indicator of increasing consumer confidence in the overall U.S. housing market, says John Tashjian, principal, Centurion Real Estate Partners. As buyers absorb existing inventory, builders will ramp up construction starts, which is also give the economy a "much needed shot in the arm," Tashjian says.
New home sales surged in January, rising almost 16% from December in another sign of an improving housing market. Sales of new single-family homes in January came in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 437,000, the government said Tuesday. The results bested consensus estimates of 381,000. The pace of sales was almost 29% above the January 2012 estimate of 339,000, and almost 16% above the revised December rate. The strong showing in January follows an uptick in home builder sentiment and housing starts in recent months that hadn't been matched with an increase in sales. "Now, we're seeing sales pick up," says Patrick Newport, economist with IHS Global Insight. The homebuilding industry has been starved for good news for years. Last year's new home sales totaled 367,000, making 2012 the third lowest year on record for new home sales. They hit record lows in 2011. IHS Global Insight expects new home sales to rise to 464,000 this year. IHS doesn't expect new home sales to return to more normal levels, above 800,000 a year, until 2015. Increased new home sales are a strong indicator of increasing consumer confidence in the overall U.S. housing market, says John Tashjian, principal, Centurion Real Estate Partners. As buyers absorb existing inventory, builders will ramp up construction starts, which is also give the economy a "much needed shot in the arm," Tashjian says.
Tradex Global Advisory Services, LLC
investorrelations@thetradexgroup.com
203-863-1500
@Tradex_Global
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